Weight occupancy and ADR
Annual occupancy equals total booked nights divided by total available nights. Blended ADR equals total accommodation revenue divided by total booked nights, so neither metric is a simple average of monthly percentages.
Short-term rental underwriting
Estimate Airbnb revenue, expenses, financing, and cash flow from one average month or a complete 12-month seasonal forecast.
Decision question
What could this short-term rental produce across a full seasonal year?
This calculator provides estimates and educational information for planning and comparison, not financial, investment, tax, legal, lending, or real estate advice.
Operating memo
Average Month is a fast blended scenario. Monthly / Seasonal keeps each month independent, then sums actual monthly revenue, operating costs, NOI, debt service, and cash flow into annual results.
Primary formula
Monthly Revenue = Available Nights × Occupancy × ADR + Booking Fees + Other Income
Annual occupancy equals total booked nights divided by total available nights. Blended ADR equals total accommodation revenue divided by total booked nights, so neither metric is a simple average of monthly percentages.
Platform, management, maintenance, and turnover costs respond to actual monthly activity. Annual tax and insurance are allocated monthly, while utilities, supplies, HOA, and other monthly costs recur.
NOI stops before financing. The fixed mortgage payment is then subtracted for cash flow. Monthly break-even occupancy shows the threshold under that month’s ADR, availability, costs, and financing assumptions.
This engine-backed example uses lower winter occupancy, stronger summer ADR and occupancy, and shoulder-season assumptions. With the default property, expense, stay, and financing inputs, the 12 submitted months produce $54,738.00 gross revenue, $21,415.11 NOI, and -$939.05 cash flow. Weighted annual occupancy is 62.51% and booked-night-weighted ADR is $219.58.
Winter example
January · $155 ADR · 42%
Summer example
July · $285 ADR · 84%
Shoulder example
October · $195 ADR · 60%
For a strategy comparison, use the Rental Property Calculator. To isolate financing or return measures, continue with the related mortgage, DSCR, cap-rate, and cash-on-cash tools below.
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